Ursids 2007: Possible Outburst?

This poorly observed shower showed enhanced activity quite a few times over the
last decades and has produced at least two real outbursts. An international
team led by Peter Jenniskens predicts a new outburst for this year, peaking at
20h – 22h15 UT on December 22 with a full-width at half peak intensity of about
2 – 8.5 hours (most likely around 5 hours). The timing and the location of the
radiant favours locations in Europe and Asia. The ZHR is expected to reach up
to 40 – 80, or up to 8 times normal activity. If the outburst materializes, you
can realistically expect to see one meteor every two minutes from dark
locations.

Although it is almost full moon, observations using any method are encouraged.
Visual observations can be reported using
the electronic report form to be included in the Ursids Visual Data Quicklook Page.

For more information on the predictions, check the NASA AMES research center website.