Meteor Activity Outlook for January 8-14, 2011

During this period the moon reaches its first
quarter phase on Wednesday January 12th. At this time the moon lies ninety degrees
east of the sun and sets near midnight LST (Local Standard Time). This weekend
the waxing crescent moon will set during the mid-evening hours allowing a majority
of the night to be free from interfering moonlight. The estimated total hourly
rates for evening observers this week is near three from the northern hemisphere
and three for observers south of the equator. For morning observers the estimated
total hourly rates should be near eighteen from the northern hemisphere and sixteen
as seen from the southern hemisphere. The actual rates will also depend on factors
such as personal light and motion perception, local weather conditions, alertness
and experience in watching meteor activity. Evening rates are reduced by moonlight.

The radiant (the area of the sky where meteors appear
to shoot from) positions and rates listed below are exact for Saturday night/Sunday
morning January 8/9. These positions do not change greatly day to day so the
listed coordinates may be used during this entire period. Most star atlases
(available at science stores and planetariums) will provide maps with grid lines
of the celestial coordinates so that you may find out exactly where these positions
are located in the sky. A planisphere or computer planetarium program is also
useful in showing the sky at any time of night on any date of the year. Activity
from each radiant is best seen when it is positioned highest in the sky, either
due north or south along the meridian, depending on your latitude. It must be
remembered that meteor activity is rarely seen at the radiant position. Rather
they shoot outwards from the radiant so it is best to center your field of view
so that the radiant lies at the edge and not the center. Viewing there will allow
you to easily trace the path of each meteor back to the radiant (if it is a shower
member) or in another direction if it is a sporadic. Meteor activity is not seen
from radiants that are located below the horizon. The positions below are listed
in a west to east manner in order of right ascension (celestial longitude). The
positions listed first are located further west therefore are accessible earlier
in the night while those listed further down the list rise later in the night.

The following showers are expected to be active this week:

The wide Antihelion (ANT) radiant is now centered at 08:04 (121) +19. This
area of the sky lies in western Cancer, ten degrees southeast of the bright first
magnitude star Pollux (Beta Geminorum). This radiant is best placed near 0100 (LST)
when it lies on the meridian and is located highest in the sky. Due to the large
size of this radiant, any meteor radiating from eastern Gemini, Canis Minor,
southern Lynx, northwestern Hydra, or Cancer could be a candidate for this shower.
Rates at this time should be near two per hour as seen from the northern hemisphere
and one per hour for observers located south of the equator. With an entry velocity
of 30 km/sec., the average Antihelion meteor would be of medium-slow speed.

The December Leonis Minorids (DLM) are active from a radiant located at
11:55 (179) +22. This position lies in a blank area near the Leo/Coma Berenices
border, seven degrees north of the second magnitude star Denebola (Beta Leonis).
These meteors are best seen near 0500 LST when the radiant lies highest above the
horizon. This shower peaked on December 20th so current rates would be near two
per hour as seen from the northern hemisphere and one per hour as seen from south
of the equator. At 64km/sec. the December Leonis Minorids produce mostly swift
meteors.

The Quadrantids (QUA) or January Bootids are active from January 1st through
the 10th. A sharp maximum occurred between 2300 on January 3 and 0400 Universal
Time on the 4th when zenith hourly rates exceeded 100 per hour. The last remnants
of this shower for 2011 may be seen this weekend from a radiant located at
15:32 (233) +49. This position lies in a bare region of extreme northern Bootes,
ten degrees south of the fourth magnitude star Iota Draconis. At 42 km/sec. the
Quadrantids produce meteors of medium velocity.

As seen from the mid-northern hemisphere (45N) one would expect to see approximately
fourteen Sporadic meteors per hour during the last hour before
dawn as seen from rural observing sites. Evening rates would be near two per hour.
As seen from the mid-southern hemisphere (45S), morning rates would also be near
fourteen per hour as seen from rural observing sites and two per hour during the
evening hours. Locations between these two extremes would see activity between
the listed figures. Rates are reduced during the evening hours due to moonlight.

The table below presents a condensed version of the expected activity this week.
Rates and positions are exact for Saturday night/Sunday morning.