Meteor Activity Outlook for December 27, 2008 – January 4, 2009

January sees a peak of sporadic activity for the
southern hemisphere while rates seen north of the equator begin a steady downward
turn that continues throughout the first half of the year. The sporadic activity
is good for both hemispheres, but not as good as it was for northern observers in
December. Once the Quadrantids have passed the shower activity for January is very
quiet.

During this period the moon reaches it new phase
on Saturday December 27th. At this time the moon lies close to the sun and is not
visible at night. Next week the waxing crescent moon sets during the evening hours
and does not interfere with observing during the more active morning hours. The
estimated total hourly rates for evening observers this week is near four for
those located in the mid-northern hemisphere (45 N) and three for those viewing from
the mid-southern hemisphere (45 S). For morning observers the estimated total
hourly rates should be near twenty for those located in the mid-northern
hemisphere (45 N) and fifteen for those viewing from the mid-southern hemisphere
(45 S). Locations between these two extremes would see activity between the listed
figures. These rates assume that you are watching from rural areas away from all
sources of light pollution. The actual rates will also depend on factors such as
personal light and motion perception, local weather conditions, alertness and
experience in watching meteor activity. Evening rates are reduced due to moonlight.

The radiant positions and rates listed below are exact
for Saturday night/Sunday morning December 27/28. These positions do not change
greatly day to day so the listed coordinates may be used during this entire period.
Most star atlases (available at science stores and planetariums) will provide maps
with grid lines of the celestial coordinates so that you may find out exactly where
these positions are located in the sky. A planisphere or computer planetarium program
is also useful in showing the sky at any time of night on any date of the year.
Activity from each radiant is best seen when it is positioned highest in the sky,
either due north or south along the meridian, depending on your latitude. It must
be remembered that meteor activity is rarely seen at the radiant position. Rather
they shoot outwards from the radiant so it is best to center your field of view so
that the radiant lies at the edge and not the center. Viewing there will allow you to
easily trace the path of each meteor back to the radiant (if it is a shower member)
or in another direction if it is a sporadic. Meteor activity is not seen from radiants
that are located below the horizon. The positions below are listed in a west to east
manner in order of right ascension (celestial longitude). The positions listed first
are located further west therefore are accessible earlier in the night while those
listed further down the list rise later in the night.

The following showers are expected to be active this week:

The wide Antihelion (ANT) radiant is now centered at 07:16 (109) +21. This
area of the sky lies in central Gemini near the fourth magnitude star Delta
Geminorum. This radiant is best placed near 0100 local standard time (LST) when
it lies on the meridian and is highest in the sky. Actually any meteor from
eastern Gemini or western Cancer could be a candidate for this shower. Rates at
this time should be near three per hour as seen from the northern hemisphere and
two per hour for observers located south of the equator. With an entry velocity
of 30 km/sec., the average Antihelion meteor would be of medium-slow speed.

The Coma Berenicids (COM) are active from a radiant located at 11:16 (169)
+27. This area of the sky is located in northern Leo, six degrees north of the 3rd
magnitude star Zosma (Delta Leonis). These meteors are best seen near 0500 LST
when the radiant lies highest above the horizon. Rates should currently be near
two per hour as seen from the northern hemisphere and one per hour as seen from
locations south of the equator. At 64 km/sec. the Coma Berenicids will usually
produce meteors of swift velocity.

The Quadrantids (QUA) reach maximum activity near 1300 UT on January 3. This
timing is good for the west coast of North America. The exact maximum is difficult
to catch under perfect conditions where the shower peaks with the radiant located
high in the sky. Most observers will do well seeing rates of fifty Quadrantids per
hour. From high northern latitudes some Quadrantid activity may be seen during the
evening hours but during 2009 the moon will be above the horizon during the evening
hours. A few Quadrantids may be seen from the equator and low southern latitudes
during the small window of time between the rise of the radiant and the start of
morning twilight. At higher southern latitudes the radiant does not rise until the
sky is too bright so no Quadrantid activity is visible south of approximately 30
degrees south latitude. The first quarter moon will set near midnight allowing the
more active morning hours to be free of interfering moonlight. On January 3rd the
radiant is located at 15:20 (230) +49. This area of the sky is located in an empty
portion of northeastern Bootes some twenty degrees east of the second magnitude
star Alkaid (Eta Ursae Majoris). The nearest bright star is third magnitude Beta
Bootis, lying eight degrees to the southwest of the Quadrantid radiant. On the
morning of January 4th, the rates will have dropped back below the sporadic
background. The ZHR is back down to one on January 5th and all traces of the
shower disappear by January 13. At 42 km/sec. the Quadrantids produce meteors
of average to swift velocity. This shower is also known as the Bootids.

As seen from the mid-northern hemisphere (45N) one would expect to see approximately
fifteen Sporadic meteors per hour during the last hour before dawn as seen
from rural observing sites. Evening rates would be near two per hour. As seen from
the mid-southern hemisphere (45S), morning rates would be near thirteen per hour
as seen from rural observing sites and two per hour during the evening hours.
Locations between these two extremes would see activity between the listed figures.
Evening rates are reduced due to moonlight.

The table below presents a summary of the expected activity this week. Rates and
positions are exact for Saturday night/Sunday morning but may be used all week.