Predictions for the 2004 Leonids

Although the big Leonid outbursts we saw over the last few years are over, this remains an interesting shower to observe. Using the same methods that successfully predicted these outbursts, Vaubaillon et al. share their forecast for this year.

  
  Vaubaillon et al.  
  ------------------  
  Trail Year Date  Time  ZHR estimate  
  1333 2004 Nov 19 06:42 UTC 10  
  1733 2004 Nov 19 21:49 UTC ~ 65  
  1001 2004 Nov 8 23:30 UTC 50 (100?) -- not by Sato  
   
  David Asher about 1001 trail  
  -----------------------------  
  1001 2004 Nov 8 23:38 UTC faint meteors  
   
   
  Mikiya Sato  
  ------------  
   
  trail v_ejec   Date Time sollong  
  1965 120.96 1.35 Nov.17 09:22 235.315 -0.0017 0.94 153.61 21.62 70.81 No peak -- very faint???  
  1733 20.82 0.22 Nov.19 21:26 237.840 -0.0023 0.10 155.19 20.76 70.80 Middle scale peak  
  1333 14.27 0.14 Nov.19 06:39 237.218 +0.0018 0.022 154.95 21.28 70.64 Low level peak  
  1167 13.10 0.13 Nov.21 09:54 239.374 +0.0029 0.0049 156.27 20.54 70.67 No peak  
  1135 11.75 0.12 Nov.21 08:21 239.309 +0.0006 0.0040 156.21 20.48 70.73 Low level peak? -- not by Vaubaillon